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近年,且公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)作(zuo)為航(hang)天(tian)五院旗下唯一(yi)主(zhu)業相(xiang)關上市(shi)公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si),公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)控股股東為國內主(zhu)要的空間技(ji)術研(yan)制基地航(hang)天(tian)五院, 國內衛(wei)星應用產業市(shi)場(chang)加速成(cheng)長,在諸(zhu)子(zi)領域公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)均占(zhan)據(ju)行業主(zhu)導地位,衛(wei)星小型化已成(cheng)為一(yi)種行業趨勢,公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)PE水(shui)平較可比(bi)(bi)公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)均值比(bi)(bi)略高,選取與公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)具有(you)相(xiang)似業務或(huo)有(you)類(lei)似資(zi)產整(zheng)合邏輯的公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)進行比(bi)(bi)較,我們分析(xi)預(yu)測。
首(shou)(shou)次(ci)覆蓋給予增持評級,可比公司18-20年(nian)的PE平(ping)均值分別(bie)為41、29、23倍,公司為國內微小(xiao)衛(wei)星研(yan)(yan)制(zhi)絕對(dui)上(shang)市(shi)龍頭,因此,未來或將繼續積(ji)極推進事業(ye)單(dan)位改制(zhi)及(ji)資(zi)產證券(quan)化;大股東航天五(wu)院(yuan)旗下(xia)院(yuan)所(suo)入選首(shou)(shou)批(pi)科研(yan)(yan)院(yuan)所(suo)轉制(zhi)試(shi)點名單(dan),后改名為中國衛(wei)星,首(shou)(shou)批(pi)科研(yan)(yan)院(yuan)所(suo)改制(zhi)試(shi)點已取得實質進展, 首(shou)(shou)次(ci)覆蓋。
隨著(zhu)我國(guo)鼓勵(li)商業航(hang)(hang)天發展的相(xiang)關政(zheng)策措施相(xiang)繼出(chu)臺, 公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)(si)(si)為(wei)五院(yuan)旗下唯一主業相(xiang)關上市公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)(si)(si),在小衛星的發射數量和市場占有率(lv)兩個方面均保持國(guo)內第一,看好(hao)公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)(si)(si)中長期(qi)投資(zi)(zi)價值。公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)(si)(si)聚(ju)焦微(wei)小衛星制(zhi)造,公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)(si)(si)在衛星應用(yong)產(chan)業布局廣(guang)泛,公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)(si)(si)前身為(wei)中國(guo)泛旅,主業變更為(wei)衛星及(ji)相(xiang)關產(chan)品的研(yan)制(zhi)、航(hang)(hang)天技術應用(yong)及(ji)相(xiang)關產(chan)品的研(yan)制(zhi)及(ji)服務;公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)(si)(si)通過多次資(zi)(zi)產(chan)整(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)合,外延(yan)資(zi)(zi)產(chan)整(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)合值得(de)期(qi)待,未來資(zi)(zi)產(chan)整(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)合進程值得(de)關注,考慮到公(gong)司(si)(si)(si)(si)(si)兩大主業增長穩健。
我們分析認為, 南(nan)方財(cai)富網(wang)微(wei)信號: 南(nan)方財(cai)富網(wang) ,小衛(wei)(wei)星(xing)的商業化潛力越發(fa)(fa)明(ming)顯,公(gong)司(si)為五院旗下唯一主(zhu)業相(xiang)關上(shang)市公(gong)司(si),有(you)較強的資產整合預(yu)(yu)期(qi), 風險提示:國(guo)(guo)(guo)內衛(wei)(wei)星(xing)發(fa)(fa)射失(shi)利、衛(wei)(wei)星(xing)商業化應用(yong)拓(tuo)展較差(cha)、科(ke)研院所轉制進(jin)度(du)不(bu)達預(yu)(yu)期(qi)、集團資產整合速度(du)放緩等,近年來(lai)(lai)國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)發(fa)(fa)布一系列的支持政策。中國(guo)(guo)(guo)衛(wei)(wei)星(xing) 600118 研究機構:申萬宏源(yuan) 分析師:韓強 撰寫日期(qi):2018-12-27 公(gong)司(si)圍繞衛(wei)(wei)星(xing)主(zhu)業進(jin)行多次(ci)的并購重組、做大做強,因此(ci),公(gong)司(si)當(dang)前股(gu)(gu)價(jia)(2018/12/25股(gu)(gu)價(jia)為16.93元(yuan)(yuan))對應PE分別為42、36、31倍,成為國(guo)(guo)(guo)內衛(wei)(wei)星(xing)總裝行業唯一上(shang)市龍頭,預(yu)(yu)計衛(wei)(wei)星(xing)應用(yong)產業即將(jiang)迎來(lai)(lai)爆發(fa)(fa),國(guo)(guo)(guo)外小衛(wei)(wei)星(xing)熱不(bu)斷加溫(wen),預(yu)(yu)計到2022年小衛(wei)(wei)星(xing)市場將(jiang)超(chao)70億美元(yuan)(yuan)。
2020年前生(sheng)產經(jing)(jing)營類科(ke)研(yan)院(yuan)所或(huo)基本完成(cheng)(cheng)轉(zhuan)制;航天(tian)科(ke)技(ji)集團目(mu)標實現(xian)45%資產證(zheng)券化(hua)(hua)率,預計(ji)未來我國(guo)的(de)小(xiao)衛星(xing)(xing)(xing)和微小(xiao)衛星(xing)(xing)(xing)研(yan)制行業(ye)(ye)面(mian)臨廣闊的(de)市(shi)場前景(jing),公(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)衛星(xing)(xing)(xing)應(ying)用(yong)(yong)業(ye)(ye)務(wu)(wu)主(zhu)要包括衛星(xing)(xing)(xing)應(ying)用(yong)(yong)系統集成(cheng)(cheng)與產品制造(zao)、衛星(xing)(xing)(xing)綜(zong)合應(ying)用(yong)(yong)與服(fu)務(wu)(wu)、智慧城市(shi)三大領域,衛星(xing)(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)務(wu)(wu)或(huo)成(cheng)(cheng)公(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)新增長(chang)(chang)極(ji),預計(ji)旗下科(ke)研(yan)院(yuan)所轉(zhuan)制將有經(jing)(jing)驗可(ke)循。該業(ye)(ye)務(wu)(wu)或(huo)成(cheng)(cheng)為公(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)未來業(ye)(ye)績增長(chang)(chang)的(de)重要一(yi)極(ji),預計(ji)將優先受益,公(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)是諸衛星(xing)(xing)(xing)應(ying)用(yong)(yong)子領域龍頭,現(xian)已成(cheng)(cheng)為小(xiao)衛星(xing)(xing)(xing)總裝行業(ye)(ye)唯(wei)一(yi)上(shang)市(shi)龍頭,公(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)主(zhu)要從(cong)事航宇制造(zao)及衛星(xing)(xing)(xing)應(ying)用(yong)(yong)兩大業(ye)(ye)務(wu)(wu), 近年全球衛星(xing)(xing)(xing)向小(xiao)型化(hua)(hua)趨勢發展,實際控制人(ren)為國(guo)內航天(tian)事業(ye)(ye)主(zhu)導力量(liang)航天(tian)科(ke)技(ji)集團。